U.S. Jobless Claims Hold Steady, Suggesting Strong Labor Market
Published: Thursday, 18 April 2024 09:33 | 
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The U.S. labor market continues to show strength as weekly jobless claims held steady at a low 212,000 for the week ending April 13, according to the Labor Department. This stability in unemployment filings indicates ongoing resilience in the job market, which, alongside persistent high inflation, is influencing expectations that the Federal Reserve might postpone interest rate cuts until September. Some economists are even skeptical about any rate cuts occurring this year. Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, noted that the labor market is likely to adjust through a slowdown in hiring rather than an increase in layoffs, suggesting continued economic stability without significant job losses.
Morgan Stanley Predicts Continued Dominance of U.S. Dollar as Global Reserve Currency
Published: Thursday, 18 April 2024 09:16 | |
| Morgan Stanley asserts that the U.S. dollar will maintain its status as the dominant global reserve currency, despite facing various challenges and potential rivals, notably the Chinese yuan. Recent geopolitical tensions, such as Russia's conflict in Ukraine and domestic issues like the U.S. debt ceiling debates, have raised questions about the dollar's supremacy. However, the dollar's extensive influence across numerous economic and financial areas continues to be a significant factor in its favor. While some nations may explore alternatives due to the U.S.'s fiscal outlook and its frequent use of economic sanctions, replacing the dollar proves to be a formidable challenge, according to Morgan Stanley's latest report.
Crude Futures Decline as Israel Holds Back from Retaliating Against Iran
Published: Thursday, 18 April 2024 09:09 | |
| U.S. crude oil prices dropped below $83 as tensions in the Middle East showed signs of easing, with Israel holding off on an immediate retaliation against Iran following last weekend's unprecedented air assault. This restraint has reduced fears of a major conflict in the region, leading to a decline in oil prices for the fourth consecutive day. The West Texas Intermediate contract for May fell to $82.34 a barrel, while June Brent futures decreased to $86.77 a barrel. This week, oil prices have decreased by 4%, as traders reduce the geopolitical risk premium that had escalated over the previous two weeks due to heightened hostilities triggered by an Israeli airstrike on an Iranian diplomatic site in Syria earlier in the month.
Zimbabwe's Leadership Change Failing to Revitalize Its Troubled Economy
Published: Thursday, 18 April 2024 09:05 | |
| Despite Zimbabwe's rich gold reserves, the change in leadership from Robert Mugabe to Emmerson Mnangagwa has not resolved the country's deep-rooted problems. After Mugabe's 37-year rule ended in a 2017 coup, Mnangagwa, his former vice president, took power amid high expectations. However, Mnangagwa's tenure has mirrored Mugabe's, with the economy continuing to stagnate and political oppression persisting. The anticipated revolution has failed to materialize, leaving the country in a state similar to its condition under Mugabe's kleptocratic governance.
Traders Exploit Loopholes in New Sanctions on Russian Metals
Published: Wednesday, 17 April 2024 03:37 | |
| Traders quickly found loopholes in the new sanctions imposed by the UK and US against Russian metals like aluminum, copper, and nickel on the London Metal Exchange (LME). The sanctions, effective from April 12, prohibit the trading of Russian metals produced after this date on the LME. However, traders are focusing on the substantial stocks of Russian metals already stored in LME’s global warehouses to potentially capitalize on the market.