US Inflation Eases to 2.4% in September, Fed Rate Cuts on Track

The September US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report shows inflation at 2.4% annually, slightly above expectations. While this marks the smallest increase since February 2021, core inflation rose to 3.3%. The Federal Reserve is expected to continue with planned interest rate cuts, but at a more measured pace of quarter-point reductions.

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Social Security Payments to Rise 2.5% in 2025, Benefiting Millions

The Social Security Administration has announced a 2.5% cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for 2025, which will increase monthly benefits for over 72 million Americans, including retirees and disabled workers. This adjustment, effective January 2025, will add approximately $48 to the average monthly benefit of $1,907, helping beneficiaries cope with inflation. While lower than the 3.2% increase in 2024, this COLA aligns with the average annual adjustments of recent years.

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Fed seen cutting rates gradually to 3.5% by mid-2025

Financial markets are predicting a series of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, beginning with a 0.25% reduction in November. The central bank is projected to lower rates to around 3.5% by mid-2025, with some speculation of further cuts. This outlook follows recent economic indicators and the Fed's previous "recalibration" of monetary policy.

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Bond Market Braces for Post-Election Fiscal Challenges, PIMCO Reports

Bond giant PIMCO predicts challenges for U.S. government bonds due to widening budget deficits and possible inflationary trade policies after the November election. Although the firm expects a soft economic landing and sees opportunities in intermediate-duration bonds, it cautions against longer-duration bonds that may be affected by fiscal and trade policies. PIMCO forecasts persistent high deficits and a steepening yield curve, regardless of which party wins the election.

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US Inflation Edges Down in September, But Core Prices Remain Stubborn

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September showed inflation at 2.4% annually, slightly higher than expected but lower than August's 2.5%. While overall inflation continued to cool, core prices remained sticky, rising 0.3% monthly. This data, combined with strong labor market figures, may influence the Federal Reserve's future interest rate decisions.

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